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Transactions of RHASS Volume 1940 - Page 007

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Year 1940
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OCR Text 2 THE EFFECTS OF THE WAR ON AGRICULTURE.
nations, there are wealthy classes and poor classes. The
struggle has been regarded as one between the ‘haves’ and
the ‘have nots.’ But the issues lie even deeper than that.
Spiritual values have changed and new ideas and ideals
have appeared which cannot easily be adjusted to the old
social and economic order. Already three great nations—
Russia, Germany, and Italy—have completely broken with
the economy of the past.
Our own nation, with its tradition of democracy and free
speech and discussion, is probably the most stable social
system in the world, because, in spite of all the faults of our
social and economic system, new wealth is slowly filtering
through and becoming distributed among all classes, as is
evidenced by the great rise in the standard of living which
has taken place since the beginning of the present century.
But it is realised that after the war there must be a period
of rapid reconstruction which will involve changes. It will
be difficult to get the necessary changes carried through with
the minimum of dislocation. The National Exchequer will
be depleted; there may be unemployment to an extent
which we have never experienced in the past ; there may be
economic distress and social unrest. There will probably be
general food shortage in Europe, and there may be shortage
and high prices here. A food policy which would ensure that
every person had suflicient for his needs, whether employed
or unemployed, would go far to stabilise conditions and
carry us through the difficult post-war period. Agriculture
in this country is essentially food production. Our agricultural
war policy, therefore, should do more than to provide merely
a temporary increase of food to meet war needs. It should
be part, and the most important part, of a long-range food
policy which will carry us through the war and through the
equally difficult period of post-war reconstruction.
There are now several powerful agricultural organisations—
e.g., the “Highland” Society, the National Farmers’ Union
and the Chamber of Agriculture, which have wisely joined
forces, the Farm Servants’ Union, the Colleges of Agriculture,
and the Research Institutes. If these could be brought into
closer contact and co-operate in planning agriculture for the
future, planning not merely in the interest of agriculture
itself, but planning for an agriculture which would form a
stable basis for national reconstruction to post-war needs,
they could make a valuable contribution to the forces making
for stability and a smooth evolution along sound lines. A
movement in that direction was made by the Scottish National
Development Council in 1933, when a Committee representing
all these bodies, with Lord Elgin as Chairman, examined
Scottish agriculture in the light of all national needs. The
fill). —;—v-" A
THE EFFECTS OF THE \VAR ON AGRICULTURE. 3
findings and recommendations of that Committee would make
a good starting-point for another inquiry in the light of the
much more urgent needs of to-day. The “ Highland ” Society,
with its great tradition and prestige, might well take a lead
in this direction. Its disinterested work for promoting the
welfare of all people engaged in agriculture, from the farm
servant to the laird, and of agricultural education and science,
gives it the background and authority which no other agri-
cultural organisation has. Further, it would be in accordance
with the original purposcs of the Society. It was established
to deal not only with agriculture, but with everything affecting
the welfare of the people on the land. It promoted rural
industries and concerned itself with the standard of living
and culture. It can, therefore, take a broader view than
any other agricultural organisation.
This long-range planning is urgently needed at the present
time. Legislation affecting agriculture is too apt to be based
on political exigencies to meet immediate difficulties. As a
result we have had, in the last ten years, a heterogeneous
collection of measures affecting agriculture, but no agricultural
policy and no study of agriculture in relation to other national
needs. All war measures should be considered in the light
of their effect in the post-war period. They should be directed
towards making agriculture permanently prosperous and
provrding sufficient food for the whole population. A flourish-
ing agriculture and a healthy, well-fed population are the
only sound basis of national prosperity and stability for our
social and economic system. We have the opportunity to
plan for that now. It will be too late to begin planning in
the middle of the dislocations and disturbances which are
inevitable when the war finishes.
IMMEDIATE EFFECTS OF THE WAR.
At the time of writing, the Government has not announced
any very defimte policy for agriculture except the ploughing
up. of an additional two million acres and a promise that
prices be sufficient to cover costs. There is as yet no
indication what prices will be and no guidance as to what
crops should be grown. Ofiicial pronouncements that agri-
culture Will get a fair deal and will not be ‘let down’ after
the war are not sufficient to give the industry the confidence
needed to enable it to plan for the future. It is, therefore
nnpossrble to predict, except in general terms from the ex3
perience of the last war, what effects the present war will
haVe- Some of the immediate effects
apparent : however, are already
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Title Transactions of RHASS Volume 1940 - Page 007